Example model output data representing median point forecasts
example_median_model_output.RdThese are based on a subset of forecasts of daily incident hospital admissions for COVID-19 that were submitted to the US COVID-19 Forecast hub, which have been lightly modified for expository purposes. To obtain point forecasts, we extracted quantile forecasts at probability level 0.5.
Format
example_median_model_output
A data frame with 16 rows and 8 columns:
- origin_date
Date: Reference date for the forecast.
- horizon
integer: Forecast horizon, in days.
- location
character: FIPS codes identifying the location being forecasted.
- target
character: The forecast target. All values are "inc covid hosp".
- output_type
character: Output type used to represent the forecast. All values are "median".
- output_type_id
NA: This column is not used when the output type is "median". All values are "NA".
- value
numeric: The median of the forecast distribution.
- model_id
character: Identifier for the model that produced the forecast.